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STUDY: Manila and Cebu Top List of Southeast Asia’s Most Unaffordable Housing Markets

  • Posted on Jun 10, 2026
  • 4 minute read
  • Kyzia Maramara
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STUDY: Manila and Cebu Top List of Southeast Asia’s Most Unaffordable Housing Markets

Jun 10, 2026   •   Kyzia Maramara

At the rate the economy is going, millennials and Gen Z might have nothing to pass down to their kids, save for thrifted baggy jeans, IKEA furniture, and recurring subscriptions to streaming services. It seems as if the price of every single thing has gone up over the past few years. Inflation in the Philippines has skyrocketed (6.8% in May 2026) and we now have 2.41 million jobless Filipinos (4.7% in April 2026, up from 4.1% last year). Add the fact that Manila and Cebu just topped the list of Southeast Asia’s most unaffordable housing markets, and it’s a recipe for economic disaster. So how, pray tell, are the younger generation supposed to afford their own homes when they’re busy paying for just about everything else? Is owning a home in this century just a fantasy?

 

Numbeo: Manila and Cebu rank among the world’s least affordable housing markets

Manila Cebu homeownership crisis
Numbeo’s Property Prices Index by City 2026 | Screenshot from Numbeo

According to Numbeo’s 2026 Property Prices Index, Manila ranked third worldwide for housing unaffordability, with a price-to-income ratio of 35.9. Cebu wasn’t far behind, landing in sixth place globally with a ratio of 33.7.

Only Colombo, Sri Lanka (55.1), and Kathmandu, Nepal (39.2), recorded worse scores than Manila.

Within Southeast Asia, the Philippines dominated the list for all the wrong reasons. Manila and Cebu ranked ahead of Ho Chi Minh City (32.3), Phnom Penh (31.4), and Hanoi (31.1).

Manila cebu homeownership crisis
Numbeo’s Property Prices Index by City 2026 in Southeast Asia | Screenshot from Numbeo

 

What does “price-to-income ratio” actually mean?

Numbeo calculates this by comparing the median price of an apartment against a household’s annual disposable income. In simple terms, it’s an estimate of how many years’ worth of income a typical household would need to buy a home. The higher the number, the less affordable housing becomes.

A ratio of 35.9 means that, theoretically, an average household in Manila would need nearly 36 years of its disposable income to afford a home. Cebu households would need almost 34 years.

Of course, real life is more complicated than a formula. Numbeo itself notes that the index doesn’t account for factors such as taxes, maintenance costs, different housing types, inherited wealth, or financial assistance from family. Still, the figures paint a sobering picture of just how steep the climb toward homeownership has become.

 

It’s a global problem

Manila Cebu homeownership crisis

Housing affordability has become a growing concern worldwide. The Economist Intelligence Unit noted that years of elevated inflation, rising borrowing costs, and expensive construction materials have reshaped housing markets globally. Even in countries where prices have cooled, higher mortgage rates continue to squeeze would-be buyers.

In other words, young adults around the world are asking the same question: How are we supposed to buy homes when simply staying afloat already costs so much?

 

Now, the question is, are the prices high, or are we all just bad at spending money?

For some Filipinos, homeownership is still achievable. We see Internet strangers celebrating their new houses all the time (paired with encouraging messages of how we can do it, too). Maybe if we all stopped buying matcha lattes, blind boxes, and concert tickets, we’d all magically afford a house in a few years. So is it just a case of spending money on all the wrong things? The reality isn’t that simple.

People come from vastly different circumstances. Some inherit property or receive help from family. Others support parents and siblings. Some earn six figures, while others struggle with stagnant wages despite working full-time.

Financial discipline certainly matters. Saving consistently, avoiding unnecessary debt, and building healthy money habits can improve your chances. But affordability is also shaped by larger forces: wages that fail to keep pace with property prices, rising living costs, limited housing supply in urban centers, and an economy where even middle-income earners can find themselves priced out.

Homeownership remains a dream for many, not because of laziness or poor choices, but because the math simply doesn’t add up.

 

What can you do if buying a home still feels impossible?

Manila Cebu homeownership crisis

The numbers can be discouraging. If you’re still recovering from the realization that a McFlurry now costs around P60 (this author still remembers when it was P25!), seeing a 35.9 price-to-income ratio certainly doesn’t help.

But it doesn’t mean you should give up entirely. What are some of the things you can control?

  • Build an emergency fund before taking on long-term debt.
  • Improve your earning potential through career growth, side hustles, or upskilling.
  • Explore housing options outside major city centers, where prices may be lower.
  • Take advantage of government housing programs if you’re eligible.
  • Save and invest consistently, even if progress feels slow.
  • Remember that renting isn’t a personal failure. For many people, it’s the more practical financial decision.

The reality is that the “dream house by 30” timeline sold to previous generations no longer reflects the experiences of many young Filipinos today. And maybe success doesn’t have to look exactly the same.

Owning a home remains a worthwhile goal if it’s something you genuinely want. But if you’re not there yet, you’re not automatically irresponsible, immature, or “behind” in life. Let’s just do the best we can with the cards we’ve been dealt.

 

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Kyzia Maramara

Kyzia spends most of her time capturing the world around her through photos, paragraphs, and playlists. She is constantly on the hunt for the perfect chocolate chip cookie, and a great paperback thriller to pair with it.

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